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New York CNN —If voters return former President Donald Trump to the White House, he’s promised to launch an unprecedented crackdown on immigration and even conduct mass deportations. Trump recently told Time that he would aim to deport 15 million to 20 million people, perhaps by using the National Guard. Even though consumer prices are no longer skyrocketing, the cumulative impact of three years of high inflation is painful. “Most Americans view high inflation and high prices as unfair. But immigration remains a major concern for voters in the 2024 election and Trump has made it a centerpiece of his campaign.
Persons: Donald Trump, he’s, Trump, , Mark Zandi, “ It’s, Joe Brusuelas, ” Brusuelas, You’d, , Karoline Leavitt, Joe Biden “, ” Leavitt, , Joe Biden, Zandi, Trump’s, criminologists, Biden, Jerome Powell, Brusuelas, Goldman Sachs, ” Goldman Sachs, Wendy Edelberg, Edelberg, that’s Organizations: New, New York CNN, White, National Guard, Federal Reserve, CNN, RSM, Trump, Social Security, University of Michigan, Labor Department ., The Hamilton, , Hamilton, Security, Congressional, Office, The Hamilton Project, Brookings Institution Locations: New York, China, Covid, Mexico, United States
Typically, price increases are a slow-moving process, so it is rare to see core inflation accelerate this much this quickly. The Survey of Professional Forecasters has found longer-run expectations for inflation have leveled out at 2% — the Fed's target. These one-offs have had an outsize impact on the overall inflation picture. Ahead of 2024, the contribution from acyclical components to core inflation was essentially zero. The strong growth in private demand suggests that second-quarter GDP could be even more robust.
Persons: I've Organizations: America, Federal Reserve, PCE, Atlanta Fed Locations: Real
In today's big story, we're looking at the people preparing for the collapse of the financial system . The big storyPreparing for the worstAdobe; Chelsea Jia Feng/BIOpinions fluctuate on the economy, but one group has a decidedly strong take. In the subreddit r/economiccollapse, users are preparing for a Soviet Union-type fall of the US economy , writes Business Insider's Jennifer Sor. Further down the economic totem pole, ALICEs (asset limited, income constrained, employed) are struggling to make ends meet . 3 things in techAlex Wong/Getty Images, STR / Contributor/Getty Images, Stephane De Sakutin/Contributor/Getty Images, Abanti Chowdhury/BIHow Mark Zuckerberg turned against the news.
Persons: , Chelsea Jia Feng, Jennifer Sor, Jennifer, aren't, Tyler, there's, Neil Dutta, Jim Simons, annualized, Alex Wong, Stephane De Sakutin, Abanti Chowdhury, Mark Zuckerberg, Zuckerberg, Rupert Murdoch, Sam Altman, Alyssa Powell, Rick Doblin, Dan DeFrancesco, Jordan Parker Erb, Hallam Bullock, George Glover, Grace Lett Organizations: Service, Business, Chelsea, Macro, Renaissance Technologies, Big Tech, Apple, FDA, FOX Locations: Soviet Union, China, Washington, Beijing, New York, London, Chicago
The five-month, 28% sprint from the October correction low to the record high on the last trading day of the first quarter left the S & P 500 overbought, overheated and over-loved. .SPX YTD mountain S & P 500, YTD So far, so good, three weeks down and now three weeks up, taking the S & P 500 back to within 1% of its March 28 peak. More specifically, he tracks the correlation between S & P 500 and the Citi Economic Surprise Index. Fidelity Investments head of global macro Jurrien Timmer fashioned this look at the path of S & P 500 earnings heading into and through each calendar year, with 2024 holding up better than 2023 was last year at this time. The last time the S & P 500 was at today's level above 5200 in late March, the 12-month forward price/earnings multiple was 21.
Persons: that's, Jerome Powell, Scott Chronert, It's, Powell, Lori Calvasina, we've Organizations: U.S, Bank, Citi, Citi U.S, Fidelity Investments, Treasury, RBC Capital
Here are Thursday's biggest calls on Wall Street: Goldman Sachs reiterates Sunrun as buy Goldman said it's sticking with its buy rating following earnings on Wednesday. " JPMorgan reiterates SolarEdge as overweight JPMorgan said it's sticking with its overweight rating following earnings on Wednesday. " Citi reiterates Airbnb as buy Citi said it's standing by its buy rating on shares of Airbnb following earnings on Wednesday. JPMorgan reiterates Instacart as overweight JPMorgan said it's sticking with its overweight rating on shares of Instacart following earnings on Wednesday. Bank of America reiterates Apple as buy Bank of America said it's sticking with its buy rating following data showing App Store strength.
Persons: Goldman Sachs, Sunrun, Goldman, JPMorgan, SEDG, Shopify, Redburn, Mizuho, Robinhood, Airbnb, Davidson downgrades TripAdvisor, Raymond James, Fox, Cantor Fitzgerald, Cantor, EVGO, it's, Wolfe, Skyworks, SWKS, we're Organizations: JPMorgan, Bloomberg, Holdings, Deutsche Bank, Emerson, Deutsche, Citi, Bank of America, Fox, of America, Solutions, Barclays, UBS, Costco, Apple Locations: EBITDA
Every weekday the CNBC Investing Club with Jim Cramer holds a "Morning Meeting" livestream at 10:20 a.m. Considering we sold stock twice last month at higher prices, we're interested in buying some of it back. As a subscriber to the CNBC Investing Club with Jim Cramer, you will receive a trade alert before Jim makes a trade. THE ABOVE INVESTING CLUB INFORMATION IS SUBJECT TO OUR TERMS AND CONDITIONS AND PRIVACY POLICY , TOGETHER WITH OUR DISCLAIMER . NO FIDUCIARY OBLIGATION OR DUTY EXISTS, OR IS CREATED, BY VIRTUE OF YOUR RECEIPT OF ANY INFORMATION PROVIDED IN CONNECTION WITH THE INVESTING CLUB.
Persons: Jim Cramer, drugmaker Merck, Jim, I'm, we're, Disney, Jim Cramer's Organizations: CNBC, Dow Jones Industrial, Dow, Wynn Resorts, Walt Disney, Disney, DIS Locations: U.S, China's Macao
Every weekday, the CNBC Investing Club with Jim Cramer releases the Homestretch — an actionable afternoon update, just in time for the last hour of trading on Wall Street. Both Arista and Broadcom are on the Ethernet side of AI networking," Jim Cramer said. As a subscriber to the CNBC Investing Club with Jim Cramer, you will receive a trade alert before Jim makes a trade. THE ABOVE INVESTING CLUB INFORMATION IS SUBJECT TO OUR TERMS AND CONDITIONS AND PRIVACY POLICY , TOGETHER WITH OUR DISCLAIMER . NO FIDUCIARY OBLIGATION OR DUTY EXISTS, OR IS CREATED, BY VIRTUE OF YOUR RECEIPT OF ANY INFORMATION PROVIDED IN CONNECTION WITH THE INVESTING CLUB.
Persons: Jim Cramer, we'll, Laxman, Narasimhan, Howard Schultz, Jim Cramer's, Jim Organizations: CNBC, Dow, Dow Jones, Nasdaq, Broadcom, Arista Networks, Arista, Starbucks, Barclays, Disney, Arm Holdings, Warner Bros, Constellation Energy, Jim Cramer's Charitable
Bank of America reiterates Apple as buy Bank of America is sticking with its buy rating on shares of Apple after its Tuesday iPad event. Bank of America reiterates Rivian as buy Bank of America said it's standing by the EV maker following earnings on Tuesday. " Bank of America initiates Sutro as buy Bank of America said it's bullish on shares of the biotech company. Deutsche Bank upgrades Boston Beer to hold from sell Deutsche upgraded the stock mainly owing to valuation. Bank of America reiterates Nvidia and Micron as buy Bank of America said it's sticking with buy ratings on both Nvidia and Micron.
Persons: Wells, Baird, Apple, Morgan Stanley, NKE, Reddit, Rivian, RIVN, Rosenblatt, Raymond James, it's, Roth, SHLS, Goldman Sachs, Goldman, ZI, YTD, Stephens, Ferrari Organizations: Hexcel Corporation, Old Dominion, Bank of America, Apple, Nike, Citi, Barclays, Disney, Nasdaq, JPMorgan, VMware, Broadcom, Deutsche Bank, Boston Beer, Deutsche, Nvidia, Micron, AMD, ARM, MU, Garden Entertainment, Knicks, Rangers, UBS, Ferrari Locations: Old, Disney, Datadog, RDFN
The selloff in Walt Disney shares after the release of its latest earnings on Tuesday was "overdone," according to Barclays, which is bullish on the company's streaming results. Shares tumbled nearly 10% Tuesday after Disney missed revenue estimates for a fourth quarter in a row. DIS 1Y mountain Disney shares over the past 12 months. He said he is optimistic about Disney's streaming segment results. Down the line, Disney's streaming margins could potentially top those of Netflix, he added.
Persons: Kannan Venkateshwar, Venkateshwar, — CNBC's Michael Bloom Organizations: Walt Disney, Barclays, Disney, DIS, Netflix, Comcast, Hulu Locations: India
Billionaire investor Stanley Druckenmiller revealed Tuesday that he has slashed his big bet in chipmaker Nvidia earlier this year, saying the swift artificial intelligence boom could be overdone in the short run. "We did cut that and a lot of other positions in late March. "I'm not Warren Buffett; I don't own things for 10 or 20 years. I wish I was Warren Buffett," he added. Nvidia has been the primary beneficiary of the recent technology industry obsession with large artificial intelligence models, which are developed on the company's pricey graphics processors for servers.
Persons: Stanley Druckenmiller, We've, Druckenmiller, I'm, Warren Buffett Organizations: Nvidia
Disney Why we own it: We value Disney for its best-in-class experiential entertainment Parks business, which has proven to have immense pricing power. In the second quarter, the combined business — Disney+, India's Disney+ Hotstar, Hulu and ESPN+ — saw losses of $18 million, far better than the $659 million loss in the year-ago period. DTC profitability benefited from Disney+ core subscriber growth, higher retail subscription prices, increased advertising revenue on the back of higher impressions, and lower distribution costs. Clearly, Disney still has a big opportunity in sports as they execute on their DTC streaming strategy for ESPN. The atmosphere at the Disney Bundle Celebrating National Streaming Day at The Row in Los Angeles on May 19, 2022.
Persons: , Nelson Peltz, wouldn't, Hugh Johnston, Jim Cramer's, Jim Cramer, Jim, Presley Ann Organizations: Club, Revenue, LSEG, Disney, Parks, ESPN, Comcast, Netflix, Warner Bros Discovery, Paramount Global, CNBC, seasonality, Entertainment, Hulu, Hulu Live, Sports ESPN, College Football, National Football League, Walt Disney World, Disney Cruise, Disneyland, Hong Kong, Getty Locations: Hulu, India, Florida, California, Hong, Los Angeles
Naked dresses once again dominated the Met Gala red carpet on Monday night. AdvertisementAnother year, another sea of naked dresses at the Met Gala. John Shearer/Getty ImagesThis isn't to say some of those naked dresses haven't been standout looks — quite a few ended up on our list of the best Met Gala outfits of all time. Dimitrios Kambouris/Getty ImagesAnd unexpected might be the perfect word to describe what's been missing from so much of fashion lately, especially at the Met Gala. So, let's give the naked dresses a rest and bring some surprise back to the Met Gala.
Persons: Kim Kardashian, Jennifer Lopez, , you'd, hasn't, It's, John Shearer, haven't, Emily Ratajkowski, Cher, Bob Mackie, Mackie, Ron Galella, Kate Moss, Liza Bruce, Rihanna, Alo Ceballos, Christian Siriano, Elle Fanning deservedly, J.G, Ballard, Elle Fanning, Jamie McCarthy, Dynevor's, Victoria Beckham, Beckham, Phoebe Dynevor, Dimitrios Kambouris, what's, Guo Pei Organizations: Service, Time Magazine, Vogue, Getty, Google
JPMorgan upgrades Williams-Sonoma to neutral from underweight JPMorgan said in its upgrade of the stock that the home furnishings category is stabilizing. "We are downgrading shares of EXPE to Mkt Perform from OP with a target price of $145 vs. $165 previously." JPMorgan upgrades Joby to neutral from underweight JPMorgan said its bear thesis has largely played out for the aviation company. Guggenheim reiterates Target as buy Guggenheim said investors should buy the dip in shares of Target . Morgan Stanley downgrades Estee Lauder to equal weight from overweight Morgan Stanley said it sees a slower recovery for shares of Estee Lauder .
Persons: Stifel, Wells, Truist, OLLI, Guggenheim, Tim Cook, William Blair, Amgen, Jefferies, We've, Ari sta, it's, Morgan Stanley downgrades Estee Lauder, Morgan Stanley, Estee Lauder, TD Cowen, Parsons, Bernstein, Oppenheimer, CFRA, Berkshire Hathaway Organizations: RBC, FTAI Aviation, Pacific, Union Pacific, JPMorgan, Williams, WSM, BMO, Bank of America, Apple, Kiniksa Pharmaceuticals, JOBY, Guggenheim, Target, Citi, MCW, Arista, PSN, Avidity, ~$ Locations: Sonoma, EXPE, GEICO
In this videoShare Share Article via Facebook Share Article via Twitter Share Article via LinkedIn Share Article via EmailApple iPhone weakness in China is overdone, says Wells Fargo analystAaron Rakers, Wells Fargo Securities managing director, joins 'Fast Money' to talk the bull case for Apple, iPhones and AI, and what's ahead for the tech company.
Persons: Wells, Aaron Rakers Organizations: Wells Fargo Securities, Apple Locations: China, Wells Fargo
The fall of Gucci was inevitable
  + stars: | 2024-05-03 | by ( Madeline Berg | ) www.businessinsider.com   time to read: +13 min
"We got used to hearing about double-digit growth at Gucci," Fflur Roberts, the head of luxury goods at Euromonitor, told Business Insider. "I think of what a fashion editor is wearing — it's not Gucci," Lindsey Solomon, a fashion publicist, told BI. After taking the top spot on the Lyst Index of fashion's hottest brands in 2022, Gucci dropped to number 11 last quarter. "We still believe the Gucci brand's current growth rate, which is 10 times higher than that of the industry, represents a risk going forward," Morningstar's Sokolova wrote in a 2017 note. Gucci relied heavily on China for its growth, but stores — perhaps including this one in China's Hainan Province — have struggled recently.
Persons: Alessandro Michele's, loafers, Gigi Hadid, Sienna Miller, Steve Madden, ASOS, Sally Singer, Michele, Fflur Roberts, Alessandro Michele, Harry Styles, Billie Eilish, Jared Leto, Kevin Mazur, Bauer, Griffin, Jeff Kravitz, Gucci, Sabato De Sarno, Lindsey Solomon, De Sarno, François, Henri Pinault, China —, Jelena Sokolova, Solomon, Daniele Venturelli, Michele —, Sokolova, It's, Thomas Chauvet, Morningstar's Sokolova, Michele's Gucci, wasn't, Jeremy Moeller, Chauvet, Roberts, Chanel, Gucci's, Gucci hadn't, Hermès, Birkin, Louis Vuitton's Neverfull, Pinault, Louis, Euromonitor's Roberts Organizations: Creative, Gucci, The Recording Academy, Axelle, Morningstar, BI, Citi, Disney, Getty, Revenue, China News Service, Bain, Louis Vuitton Locations: Euromonitor, China, The Asia, Pacific, China's Hainan Province, Asia
Estee Lauder tumbled Wednesday as investors focused on the company's weak fiscal fourth-quarter outlook instead of its strong third-quarter numbers. Estee Lauder Why we own it: We see profitability improving as management executes on its turnaround plan and works to improve gross margin performance. These are signs the worst should be behind Estee Lauder. While full-year adjusted earnings are still expected to decline on an annual basis, Estee Lauder encouragingly bumped up its outlook. An Estee Lauder pop-up store is seen inside daimaru Department Store on Nanjing Road Pedestrian street in Shanghai, China, August 6, 2021.
Persons: Estee Lauder, Fabrizio Freda, Freda, Estee Lauder encouragingly, we're, That's, Estee, Jim Cramer's, Jim Cramer, Jim Organizations: Revenue, LSEG, L'Oreal, Chanel, Body, Street, Management, Wall, Japan, CNBC, daimaru, Getty Locations: LVMH, , Asia, North America, Latin America, Mexico, Brazil, Hong Kong, China, Japan, Mainland China, Nanjing, Shanghai
A whirlwind earnings week saw traders jumping in and out of some of the biggest stocks in the market. For example, shares of Meta Platforms fell 10.6% on Thursday after earnings beat expectations, but revenue guidance was weak . On a chart, those big post-earnings moves can leave "gaps" that may become a key area to watch going forward. What's next for Meta Meta looks like a potential example of the gap being filled after its sharp drop on Thursday. A macro view The big moves by tech giants this past week could make index-level trades a bit tricky.
Persons: John Butters, Katie Stockton, Stockton, What's, , Frank Gretz, Wellington Shields, Gretz, Larry Benedict, Benedict Organizations: Meta, CNBC, Nvidia, Wellington, Intel, Microsoft Locations: FactSet
SoFi Technologies — The consumer fintech company's stock price plunged about 10% on disappointing second-quarter earnings guidance. AT & T — The telecommunications stock popped 2.8% after Barclays upgraded AT & T to overweight from equal weight, citing a "mismatch" between the company's valuation and its growth prospects. Apple — Shares rose more than 3% after Bernstein upgraded the tech stock to outperform from market perform. Dave — Shares popped 9.8% after JMP initiated coverage of the fintech company with an outperform rating. Shares popped 9.8% after JMP initiated coverage of the fintech company with an outperform rating.
Persons: FactSet, Tesla, Domino's, LSEG, Roku, David Joyce, Bernstein, Toni Sacconaghi, Dave —, Dave, AMC preannounced, Bob Bakish, , Sarah Min, Tanaya Macheel, Yun Li, Lisa Kailai Han, Michelle Fox Organizations: Technologies, Elon, Sunday, U.S, Philips —, Philips, Barclays, Seaport Research Partners, Apple, Airlines —, Jeffries, AMC Entertainment Holdings, AMC, Paramount Locations: China, U.S
Paramount — The entertainment company saw shares climb more than 5% in premarket trading after reports that its board is preparing to fire CEO Bob Bakish as soon as Monday morning. Domino's Pizza — Shares of the pizza chain jumped more than 5% after a first-quarter earnings beat. Domino's reported $3.58 in earnings per share versus the $3.39 expected by analysts polled by LSEG. Southwest Airlines — The airline stock dipped 1.2% after Jefferies downgraded shares to underperform from hold. The company also said it expects box office performance for the second quarter to remain pressured by last year's strikes.
Persons: Bob Bakish, Domino's, Jefferies, Sheila Kahyaoglu, Bernstein, Toni Sacconaghi, , Sarah Min, Yun Li, Michelle Fox, Pia Singh, Jesse Pound Organizations: Paramount, LSEG, Southwest Airlines —, Apple, Barclays, AMC Locations: LSEG ., China
Monday's analyst calls included an upgrade to Apple and a move in the opposite direction for athleisure giant Lululemon and electric car marker Tesla. The firm downgraded Ulta stock to equal weight from overweight, and lowered its price target to $434 per share from $612. — Brian Evans 6:30 a.m. Evercore slashes Tesla price target Evercore ISI says its forecast for Tesla stock is due for an update as headwinds from the start of the year converge and pressure the electric vehicle company. Apple stock has pulled back 12.1% in 2024 but was up 1.7% in premarket trading Monday. Lululemon stock has slipped nearly 29% in 2024 and was off 1.9% premarket Monday.
Persons: Bernstein, Toni Sacconaghi, Barclays downgrades Ulta, Adrienne Yih, Yih, — Brian Evans, Chris McNally, McNally, Bernstein's Toni Sacconaghi, Sacconaghi, Barclays downgrades Lululemon, headwinds, LULU Organizations: CNBC, Apple, Tesla, Barclays, ISI Locations: China, Friday's, Mexico
Evercore ISI reiterates Nvidia as outperform Evercore ISI said investors should use any weakness in the stock to buy the dip. HSBC upgrades UPS to buy from hold HSBC said UPS is "getting back to earnings growth" following the company's earnings report. Bank of America downgrades Deckers to neutral from buy Bank of America said it sees a better risk/reward elsewhere in the firm's coverage. Bank of America reiterates IBM as buy Bank of America said it is sticking with its buy rating following earnings on Wednesday. Deutsche Bank reiterates Tesla as hold Deutsche Bank raised its price target on the stock to $136 per share from $123.
Persons: Sherwin, Williams, Bernstein, Goldman Sachs, Wells, Wells Fargo, Morgan Stanley, Ford, Needham, D.A, Davidson, ServiceNow, Tesla Organizations: Motors, GM, Nvidia, ISI, AMD, JPMorgan, Monster Beverage, Beverage, AMC, HSBC, UPS, USPS, Companies, UBS, UDR, Amazon, AWS, Bank of America, Meta, Laboratories, Manhattan Associates, IBM, Deutsche Bank Locations: 2Q24, Dearborn, Manhattan
Here's why Thursday's post-GDP sell-off may be overdone
  + stars: | 2024-04-25 | by ( Sarah Min | ) www.cnbc.com   time to read: +4 min
Stocks sold off Thursday aHoweverfter the latest economic data came in weaker than expected, but some observers say that the reaction was overdone. While the headline GDP number missed expectations, it nevertheless showed economic growth the Fed could take in stride, they say. He noted that the core parts of GDP, such as consumption growth and residential growth, were "quite good." "Stagflation is a combination of stagnant growth and high inflation," Nick continued. "I think the earnings backdrop has been very supportive," Lee told CNBC's " Closing Bell " on Thursday.
Persons: Stocks, Dow Jones, Chris Zaccarelli, Brian Nick, Nick, we're, Rob Ginsberg, Ginsberg, Fundstrat's Tom Lee, Lee, CNBC's, Jeff Cox Organizations: Federal Reserve, Independent, Alliance, Dow Jones, Treasury, Macro, Wolfe Research Locations: U.S
AI is transformative, but it's hard to determine its stock winners, Howard Marks told CNBC. download the app Email address Sign up By clicking “Sign Up”, you accept our Terms of Service and Privacy Policy . AdvertisementArtificial intelligence might end up changing the world, but that alone can't determine the success of its underlying assets, Howard Marks said. When it comes to AI, Marks acknowledged the technology's transformative potential, and he himself can't say whether its beneficiaries are already under or overvalued. "So to say well, I think that AI will be very important, that's the easy part," the billionaire investor said.
Persons: Howard Marks, , it's, Marks, Goldman Sachs, Wall, Steve Eisman, they're Organizations: CNBC, Service, Bank of America
Amgen has been in pullback mode since the beginning of February, losing roughly 13% within the context of its long-term uptrend. For those interested in "buying the dip," this may be a good time to revisit the stock, noting the decline looks overdone in the short term. There has been a positive reaction from AMGN to a short-term counter-trend "buy" signal from Tom DeMARK's TD Combo model, which supports a minimum two-week bounce. With Friday's reversal bar on AMGN's daily chart, combined with today's strength, our preferred momentum indicator the daily MACD is back on a "buy" signal. The MACD also shows a positive short-term divergence, supporting a bigger relief rally for AMGN in the near term.
Persons: Amgen, Tom DeMARK's Organizations: AMGN
NYC restaurateur Keith McNally insulted Lauren Sánchez in an apparently unprompted Instagram post. And his latest target is Lauren Sánchez, the fiancée of one of the most powerful people in the world, Jeff Bezos. McNally, who owns more than a dozen restaurants including NYC's famed Balthazar, wrote a seemingly out-of-the-blue Instagram post attacking Sánchez and Bezos on Monday. Chrissy Teigen commented on McNally's post, writing, "She's actually incredibly dynamic, accomplished and kind, and everyone who knows her would say the same." If his edited-down post is any indication, McNally sure learned the hard way not to mess with Sánchez, or her famous friends.
Persons: Keith McNally, Lauren Sánchez, Jeff Bezos, He's, James Corden, Adele, Instagram, , who's, Sánchez, McNally, Balthazar, Bezos, — Lauren Sanchez —, Sanchez, MacKenzie Scott, Chrissy Teigen, She's, Jessica Seinfeld, Jerry Seinfeld, Lauren, Stephanie Ruhle, Rachel Zoe, Corden, Corden's, Megastar Adele Organizations: Service, MSNBC, Independent, Representatives, New York Times
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